Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hofstra Pride v Drexel Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hofstra Pride (Local)

Prediction 78.10%1.28fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -9.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%78.12%78.23%79.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.03%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Drexel Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 21.90%4.57fair odd
EV +2.91%
Edge +0.620%
Kelly +0.787%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.20%21.88%21.77%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.254.254.7025.64%23.54%23.53%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hofstra Pride (Local): 78.10%; Drexel Dragons (Visit): 21.90%. For Drexel Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.06%E -5.93%K -37.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.91%E +0.620%K +0.787%G +0.023%5.3%2026-03-03 20:25
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -0.371%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.47%E -0.326%K -0.419%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.47%E -0.326%K -0.419%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 12:35
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.47%E -0.326%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 20:25
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.47%E -0.326%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 14:55
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.56%E -0.575%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 12:35
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -5.49%E -4.54%K -26.17%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -3.22%E -0.728%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 13:45
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.66%E -0.831%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 17:14
Everygame🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.66%E -0.831%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.66%E -0.831%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.75%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 13:45
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 13:45
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.54%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -6.28%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.15%E -2.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:50
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:45
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:50
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.84%E -6.64%K -43.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 20:25
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.84%E -6.64%K -43.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 20:20
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 06:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 23:55
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 18:55
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -9.13%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 23:55
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.37%E -1.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 18:05
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.93%E -3.20%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 18:10
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 23:50
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.71%E -3.86%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 13:45
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.28%E -5.23%K -31.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.27I 78.74%NM 78.90%4.75I 21.05%NM 21.10%-0.2%2026-03-03 23:55
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-03-03 23:30
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.3%2026-03-03 23:50
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-03-03 23:50
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 78.66%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.34%2.5%2026-03-03 23:05