Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 2.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Local): 66.16%; UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit): 33.84%. For UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -1.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.08%E -1.40%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.25%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.25%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 20:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.25%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.25%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.40%E -2.33%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.72%E -3.28%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 01:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.72%E -3.28%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 02:41 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.72%E -3.28%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.72%E -3.28%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.72%E -3.28%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.38%E -3.77%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.88%E -0.647%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.38%E -3.77%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.38%E -3.77%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.38%E -3.77%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.38%E -3.77%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.38%E -3.77%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.38%E -3.77%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 02:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 01:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 02:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 02:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 01:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 01:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.35%E -4.33%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.35%E -4.33%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -8.03%E -5.78%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 01:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.4% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-02-22 02:15 |