Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors v UC Riverside Highlanders

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 04:59 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Local)

Prediction 86.44%1.16fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -26.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.39%86.34%86.42%87.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1292.59%90.79%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Riverside Highlanders (Visit)

Prediction 13.56%7.37fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +0.229%
Kelly +0.264%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.79%13.66%13.58%15.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.857.007.5016.67%14.60%14.29%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Local): 86.44%; UC Riverside Highlanders (Visit): 13.56%. For UC Riverside Highlanders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.71%E +0.229%K +0.264%G +0.005%4.2%2026-03-06 03:53
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +0.358%E +0.048%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 04:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.85%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -0.049%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.85%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -0.049%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:55
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.85%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -0.998%E -0.137%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 03:55
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -1.68%E -0.231%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 04:45
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -1.68%E -0.231%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 04:45
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -1.68%E -0.231%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 04:45
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 03:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 02:40
Everygame🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 02:40
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 04:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.78%E -5.30%K -64.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 04:40
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.78%E -5.30%K -64.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.07%E -0.724%K -0.845%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 04:40
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.05%EV -3.19%E -2.85%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.91I 14.47%NM 13.95%EV -6.29%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 03:30
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -5.78%E -5.30%K -64.25%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -9.14%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 04:55
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.19%E -2.85%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -11.85%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 04:55
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.85%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 04:50
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.85%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 04:35
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.65%E -6.15%K -83.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.85%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 04:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.65%E -6.15%K -83.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.85%E -1.82%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 04:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.54%EV -5.78%E -5.30%K -64.25%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -12.53%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 04:55
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -13.20%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.92%E -4.47%K -49.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -15.24%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 04:45
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.78%E -5.30%K -64.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -15.24%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 03:45
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.78%E -5.30%K -64.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -15.24%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 03:45
TAB🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.19%E -2.85%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -15.92%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 04:45
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.63%E -3.10%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 04:50
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.05%E -3.65%K -36.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.63%E -3.10%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.14I 87.72%NM 87.55%8.02I 12.47%NM 12.45%0.2%2026-03-06 04:55
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-06 04:50
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-06 04:45
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%2.1%2026-03-06 04:30
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 87.30%7.63I 13.11%NM 12.70%3.2%2026-03-06 04:55