Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Harvard Crimson v Columbia Lions

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Harvard Crimson (Local)

Prediction 64.82%1.54fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.44%64.89%64.71%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5171.43%68.13%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbia Lions (Visit)

Prediction 35.18%2.84fair odd
EV +0.253%
Edge +0.089%
Kelly +0.137%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%35.11%35.29%36.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.692.702.8538.46%37.15%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harvard Crimson (Local): 64.82%; Columbia Lions (Visit): 35.18%. For Columbia Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.253%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.253%E +0.089%K +0.137%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.51%E -0.538%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 22:10
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 22:10
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:10
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.25%E -6.60%K -23.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.62%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.62%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 21:35
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -3.62%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 22:10
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 21:35
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 21:35
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:33
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:35
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:35
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.36%E -3.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 21:35
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.36%E -3.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 23:05
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.95%E -5.60%K -18.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 22:10
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.95%E -5.60%K -18.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 22:10
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:14
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:35
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:35
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -7.13%E -2.70%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:10
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.49%E -2.85%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -7.49%E -2.85%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:10
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -2.12%E -1.40%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 21:35
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.54%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 23:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.54%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.54%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 21:35
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.54%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 66.81%3.02I 33.11%NM 33.19%-0.2%2026-03-06 23:54
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-06 22:10
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-03-06 23:44
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-03-06 23:55
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.0%2026-03-06 23:55