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GW Revolutionaries v St. Bonaventure Bonnies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
GW Revolutionaries (Local)
Prediction 73.83%1.35fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -7.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.21%73.72%73.65%75.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3280.00%77.33%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visit)
Prediction 26.17%3.82fair odd
EV +2.05%
Edge +0.525%
Kelly +0.706%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.71%26.28%26.35%28.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.243.563.503.9030.86%28.11%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GW Revolutionaries (Local): 73.83%; St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visit): 26.17%. For St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +2.05%E +0.525%K +0.706%G +0.014% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.23%E -4.91%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.739%E +0.192%K +0.259%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.00%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.00%EV +0.477%E +0.124%K +0.168%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.569%E -0.150%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.569%E -0.150%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.569%E -0.150%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.569%E -0.150%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.71%E -6.17%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.569%E -0.150%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 21:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -1.09%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:52 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.88%E -0.501%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.28%E -2.50%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.28%E -2.50%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.28%E -2.50%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.28%E -2.50%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.02%E -3.09%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.71%E -6.17%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.71%E -6.17%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 22:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -4.02%E -3.09%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -9.20%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.54%E -1.92%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.54%E -1.92%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.54%E -1.92%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.54%E -1.92%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.54%E -1.92%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.54%E -1.92%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.54%E -1.92%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.54%E -1.92%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.34%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.02%E -3.09%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.34%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -3.28%E -2.50%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -15.22%E -4.70%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.40% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.60% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |