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Green Bay Phoenix v Northern Kentucky Norse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Green Bay Phoenix (Local)
Prediction 38.78%2.58fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.439%
Kelly -0.722%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.74%38.93%40.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.5543.48%40.91%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit)
Prediction 61.22%1.63fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.889%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.28%61.26%61.07%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.6166.67%64.38%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Green Bay Phoenix (Local): 38.78%; Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit): 61.22%. For Green Bay Phoenix (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.12%E -0.439%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.12%E -0.439%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.72%E -3.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -1.51%E -0.593%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.28%E -0.906%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.72%E -3.71%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.55%E -5.00%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.06%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.17%E -5.44%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 19:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.45%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.66%E -1.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.45%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.66%E -1.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -4.22%E -1.71%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.17%E -5.44%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.61%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.66%E -1.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 19:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.43%E -0.889%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.66%E -1.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 19:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.00%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.38%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.55%E -5.00%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 19:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.66%E -1.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 18:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.16%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.49%E -2.88%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.66%E -1.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.27%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.88%E -2.47%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.33%E -4.14%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.94%E -4.57%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.94%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.94%E -4.57%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 18:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.87%E -3.78%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.33%E -4.14%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.27%E -2.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.33%E -4.14%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.33%E -4.14%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-03-08 19:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 18:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 19:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Novig◎ | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 19:14 |