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Grand Canyon Antelopes v Cal Poly Mustangs

2026-11-12 02:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grand Canyon Antelopes (Local)

Prediction 90.51%1.10fair odd
EV -4.96%
Edge -4.73%
Kelly -99.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.40%90.51%90.58%91.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.041.041.0597.09%95.85%96.15%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit)

Prediction 9.49%10.54fair odd
EV +13.84%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.174%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.05%9.49%9.42%11.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.9210.0012.0012.50%10.08%10.00%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Grand Canyon Antelopes (Local): 90.51%; Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit): 9.49%. For Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.54. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.00, producing a positive expected value of +13.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.96%E -4.73%K -99.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +13.84%E +1.15%K +1.26%G +0.174%3.6%2026-11-10 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.87%E -5.64%K -146.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.36%E +0.396%K +0.436%G +0.019%5.2%2026-11-10 22:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.96%E -4.73%K -99.23%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -2.76%E -0.269%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 22:45
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.87%E -5.64%K -146.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.13%E -0.513%K -0.570%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-10 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.87%E -5.64%K -146.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.13%E -0.513%K -0.570%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-10 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.87%E -5.64%K -146.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.13%E -0.513%K -0.570%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-10 22:40
1xBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -6.77%E -6.57%K -225.72%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -9.87%E -1.04%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-11 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.96%E -4.73%K -99.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -19.36%E -2.28%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 22:40
picklebet_au🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.96%E -4.73%K -99.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -24.10%E -3.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-10 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-11-10 18:55
Polymarket◎1.01I 99.01%NM 86.09%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.91%15.0%2026-11-11 00:35

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