Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grambling St Tigers v Miss Valley St Delta Devils

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 02:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

92%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grambling St Tigers (Local)

Prediction 91.95%1.09fair odd

EV -2.54%

Edge -2.39%

Kelly -42.26%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.13%92.04%92.32%93.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.021.041.041.0698.04%96.40%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miss Valley St Delta Devils (Visit)

Prediction 8.05%12.42fair odd

EV +20.79%

Edge +1.39%

Kelly +1.48%

Growth +0.309%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.43%7.96%7.68%9.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

9.5011.5511.5015.0010.53%8.66%8.70%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grambling St Tigers (Local): 91.95%; Miss Valley St Delta Devils (Visit): 8.05%. For Miss Valley St Delta Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.42. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.29%E -5.14%K -176.46%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +20.79%E +1.39%K +1.48%G +0.309%	3.8%	2026-02-24 02:00
FanDuel🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.38%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	12.60I 7.94%NM 7.62%EV +1.46%E +0.116%K +0.126%G +0.002%	4.1%	2026-02-24 02:10
BetMGM🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +0.654%E +0.052%K +0.057%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-02-24 02:10
Caesars🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +0.654%E +0.052%K +0.057%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-02-24 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.37%E -0.281%K -0.307%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-24 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.37%E -0.281%K -0.307%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-24 02:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.37%E -0.281%K -0.307%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-24 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.37%E -0.281%K -0.307%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-24 02:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.37%E -0.281%K -0.307%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-24 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.37%E -0.281%K -0.307%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-24 02:09
betPARX🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.37%E -0.281%K -0.307%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-24 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.29%E -5.14%K -176.46%G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -7.40%E -0.643%K -0.705%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-24 02:09
Neds🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.29%E -5.14%K -176.46%G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -7.40%E -0.643%K -0.705%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-24 02:10
DraftKings🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.54%E -2.39%K -42.26%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -11.42%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-02-24 02:10
William Hill🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.29%E -5.14%K -176.46%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -11.42%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-24 02:10
Coral🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.29%E -5.14%K -176.46%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -11.42%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-24 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.29%E -5.14%K -176.46%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -11.42%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-24 02:10
Betway🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.21%E -6.09%K -310.67%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -11.42%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-24 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -15.45%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-24 02:10
BetRivers🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -15.45%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-24 02:10
Unibet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -15.45%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-24 02:10
TABtouch🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -19.48%E -1.95%K -2.16%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-24 02:09
SportsBet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.37%E -4.21%K -109.36%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -23.50%E -2.47%K -2.77%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-02-24 02:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 95.19%	20.80I 4.81%NM 4.81%	0.0%	2026-02-24 01:59
ProphetX◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%	16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%	1.3%	2026-02-24 02:02
Polymarket◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 88.90%	8.33I 12.00%NM 11.10%	8.2%	2026-02-24 02:10
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 92.25%	11.90I 8.40%NM 7.75%	8.4%	2026-02-24 02:10