Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.44
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gonzaga Bulldogs (Local): 67.47%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 32.53%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.35%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +7.35%E +2.23%K +3.19%G +0.235% | 3.8% | 2026-11-03 00:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.840%E +0.271%K +0.400%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-11-02 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.136%E -0.044%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-11-02 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.786%E -0.258%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-11-03 00:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.786%E -0.258%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-11-02 17:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.804%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-11-02 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.41%E -0.804%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-11-02 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.41%E -0.804%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-11-02 17:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.41%E -0.804%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-11-02 23:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.06%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-31 17:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-11-02 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-11-02 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-11-02 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.02%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-02 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-11-02 14:19 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-11-02 23:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.84%E -1.97%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-11-02 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-02 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-02 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-02 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 23:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 23:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 23:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-11-02 19:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-11-02 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-31 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-30 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-31 07:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-31 07:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-31 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-31 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-11-02 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-11-02 14:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.61% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.39% | 0.5% | 2026-11-03 00:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.41% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 31.59% | 0.8% | 2026-11-03 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-11-03 00:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-11-02 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-11-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-11-02 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-11-02 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56% | 5.2% | 2026-11-03 00:30 |
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