Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gonzaga Bulldogs v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 01:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 93.83%1.07fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -4.21%
Kelly -214.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.17%93.75%93.92%94.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.021.021.02100.00%98.39%98.04%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 6.17%16.22fair odd
EV +17.16%
Edge +0.903%
Kelly +0.954%
Growth +0.164%

assuming max odds 19.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.05%6.25%6.08%7.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0014.7414.0019.008.33%6.78%7.14%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gonzaga Bulldogs (Local): 93.83%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 6.17%. For Oregon St Beavers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.22. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +17.16%E +0.903%K +0.954%G +0.164%3.3%2026-03-10 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +17.16%E +0.903%K +0.954%G +0.164%3.3%2026-03-10 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +17.16%E +0.903%K +0.954%G +0.164%3.3%2026-03-10 01:09
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.23%E -5.18%K -522.82%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +17.16%E +0.903%K +0.954%G +0.164%4.3%2026-03-10 01:08
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +11.00%E +0.611%K +0.647%G +0.071%3.6%2026-03-10 01:10
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.49%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.51%EV +7.91%E +0.452%K +0.480%G +0.038%3.8%2026-03-10 01:09
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +4.83%E +0.284%K +0.302%G +0.015%3.9%2026-03-10 01:10
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -1.34%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 01:09
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -4.42%E -0.285%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 01:09
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -7.50%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 00:59
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.23%E -5.18%K -522.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -7.50%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.23%E -5.18%K -522.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -7.50%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.23%E -5.18%K -522.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -7.50%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:10
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.23%E -5.18%K -522.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -7.50%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:09
Everygame🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.23%E -5.18%K -522.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -7.50%E -0.500%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:08
ReBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -10.59%E -0.730%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 00:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -12.13%E -0.851%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 00:59
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:09
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:09
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:10
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:09
Bovada🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:01
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 00:59
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -13.67%E -0.976%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.98%EV -6.17%E -6.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.02%EV -18.29%E -1.38%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 00:58
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.23%E -5.18%K -522.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.23%E -5.18%K -522.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 01:10
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.23%E -5.18%K -522.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 01:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.23%E -5.18%K -522.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -19.84%E -1.53%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 01:10
BoyleSports🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.29%E -4.21%K -214.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -26.00%E -2.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 00:59
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.23%E -5.18%K -522.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -26.00%E -2.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.23%E -5.18%K -522.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -26.00%E -2.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.03I 97.09%NM 96.97%33.00I 3.03%NM 3.03%0.1%2026-03-10 00:59
Polymarket1.05I 95.24%NM 94.35%17.54I 5.70%NM 5.65%0.9%2026-03-10 01:09
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-03-10 01:10
ProphetX1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-03-10 01:09
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 97.66%41.67I 2.40%NM 2.34%2.4%2026-03-10 01:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67%1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33%91.6%2026-03-10 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67%1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33%91.6%2026-03-10 01:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67%1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33%91.6%2026-03-10 01:09