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Gonzaga Bulldogs v New Mexico St Aggies

2026-11-07 22:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 97.33%1.03fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly +0.000%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.86%96.71%97.30%98.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.00100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Mexico St Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 2.67%37.52fair odd
EV +35.94%
Edge +0.705%
Kelly +0.719%
Growth +0.258%

assuming max odds 51.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.92%3.29%2.70%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0033.0834.0051.007.69%3.02%2.94%1.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gonzaga Bulldogs (Local): 97.33%; New Mexico St Aggies (Visit): 2.67%. For New Mexico St Aggies (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 37.52. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 51.00, producing a positive expected value of +35.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -2.67%E -2.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +35.94%E +0.705%K +0.719%G +0.258%2.0%2026-11-06 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -2.67%E -2.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +35.94%E +0.705%K +0.719%G +0.258%2.0%2026-11-07 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.67%E -2.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +9.28%E +0.226%K +0.232%G +0.022%2.4%2026-11-07 00:45
DraftKings🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -2.67%E -2.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV -4.04%E -0.112%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-06 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -2.67%E -2.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV -4.04%E -0.112%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-07 00:45
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.67%E -2.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -9.37%E -0.276%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-07 00:45
1xBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.67%E -2.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -9.37%E -0.276%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-07 00:50
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -2.67%E -2.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV -22.70%E -0.783%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-06 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -2.67%E -2.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV -22.70%E -0.783%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-06 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -2.67%E -2.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV -22.70%E -0.783%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-06 23:10
picklebet_au🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 93.33%EV -2.67%E -2.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -62.68%E -4.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-06 23:09
BoyleSports🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -2.67%E -2.67%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -65.35%E -5.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-06 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.0%2026-11-06 20:10
Polymarket◎1.01I 99.01%NM 88.39%7.69I 13.00%NM 11.61%12.0%2026-11-07 00:20
Novig◎1.01I 99.01%NM 79.22%3.85I 25.97%NM 20.78%25.0%2026-11-07 00:05

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