Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs v Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-11-10 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

95%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 94.55%1.06fair odd

EV -2.62%

Edge -2.54%

Kelly -87.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

91.59%94.37%94.66%96.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.80%99.01%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 5.45%18.33fair odd

EV +36.37%

Edge +1.45%

Kelly +1.52%

Growth +0.551%

assuming max odds 25.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

3.88%5.63%5.34%8.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

11.0016.9916.7525.009.09%5.89%5.97%4.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 94.55%; Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (Visit): 5.45%. For Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.33. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 25.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +36.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +36.37%E +1.45%K +1.52%G +0.551%	3.0%	2026-11-09 18:34
theScore Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +14.55%E +0.693%K +0.727%G +0.106%	3.8%	2026-11-09 23:54
SportsBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.45%E -5.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +14.55%E +0.693%K +0.727%G +0.106%	4.8%	2026-11-09 18:34
Paddy Power🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.45%E -5.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +14.55%E +0.693%K +0.727%G +0.106%	4.8%	2026-11-09 18:05
1xBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.45%E -5.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +14.55%E +0.693%K +0.727%G +0.106%	4.8%	2026-11-09 18:09
Fanatics🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.56%E -3.49%K -178.19%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +3.64%E +0.192%K +0.202%G +0.007%	3.3%	2026-11-09 21:40
Coral🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +3.64%E +0.192%K +0.202%G +0.007%	4.3%	2026-11-09 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +3.64%E +0.192%K +0.202%G +0.007%	4.3%	2026-11-09 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -3.56%E -3.49%K -178.19%G +0.000%	18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV -1.82%E -0.101%K -0.107%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-09 21:40
BetMGM🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -1.82%E -0.101%K -0.107%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-09 21:40
Everygame🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -7.27%E -0.428%K -0.454%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-09 22:23
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.31%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	16.75I 5.97%NM 5.69%EV -8.63%E -0.515%K -0.548%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-09 01:35
DraftKings🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -2.62%E -2.54%K -87.28%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV -12.72%E -0.795%K -0.848%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-11-09 21:40
Bet Right🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -12.72%E -0.795%K -0.848%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-09 01:35
William Hill🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.56%E -3.49%K -178.19%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -18.18%E -1.21%K -1.30%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-09 21:40
888sport🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.18%E -1.21%K -1.30%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.18%E -1.21%K -1.30%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.18%E -1.21%K -1.30%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 21:40
picklebet_au🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.56%E -3.49%K -178.19%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -23.63%E -1.69%K -1.82%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 23:05
Bovada🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.56%E -3.49%K -178.19%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -23.63%E -1.69%K -1.82%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 16:04
TAB🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.56%E -3.49%K -178.19%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -29.09%E -2.24%K -2.42%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 21:40
NordicBet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -40.00%E -3.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-09 21:40
Betsson🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.51%E -4.46%K -450.93%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -40.00%E -3.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-09 21:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 96.20%	26.32I 3.80%NM 3.80%	-0.0%	2026-11-09 23:55
Polymarket◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 96.10%	25.64I 3.90%NM 3.90%	0.1%	2026-11-09 23:55
BetOpenly◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 98.69%	76.00I 1.32%NM 1.31%	0.3%	2026-11-09 22:15
ProphetX◎	1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%	27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%	0.8%	2026-11-09 23:00
Kalshi◎	1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%	25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%	1.1%	2026-11-09 01:30

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