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Georgia Bulldogs v Alabama Crimson Tide
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Georgia Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 47.12%2.12fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.01%47.15%46.75%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.002.002.0652.36%50.09%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)
Prediction 52.88%1.89fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%52.85%53.25%53.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.8457.80%55.58%55.56%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 47.12%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 52.88%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.84, with an expected value of -2.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -2.94%E -1.43%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.34%E -2.98%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -2.94%E -1.43%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.34%E -2.98%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -2.94%E -1.43%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.34%E -2.98%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 21:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 22:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 22:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.34%E -2.98%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.35%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -4.35%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 22:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 22:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 21:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -6.71%E -3.39%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -2.69%E -1.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -6.71%E -3.39%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -2.69%E -1.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.71%E -3.39%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.40%E -3.61%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.18%E -3.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.18%E -3.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.18%E -3.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.18%E -3.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.18%E -3.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.18%E -3.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.65%E -3.90%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.65%E -3.90%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -8.12%E -4.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -3.75%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.12%E -4.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.12%E -4.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.12%E -4.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 22:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.12%E -4.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.12%E -4.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.12%E -4.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.59%E -4.43%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -4.28%E -2.36%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.01%E -5.24%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | -0.0% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |