Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgetown Hoyas v Marquette Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgetown Hoyas (Local)

Prediction 56.14%1.78fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -5.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.29%56.20%56.27%57.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.701.7162.11%59.14%58.82%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 43.86%2.28fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.15%43.80%43.73%44.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.162.172.2148.08%46.26%46.08%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgetown Hoyas (Local): 56.14%; Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit): 43.86%. For Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.21, with an expected value of -3.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.00%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 22:34
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.00%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 22:34
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.00%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.00%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 22:20
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.00%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 23:32
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.00%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.00%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 22:24
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.00%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 22:24
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.00%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 22:23
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.00%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.26%E -2.44%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 22:35
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.00%E -2.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.70%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.07%E -1.39%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:45
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:44
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:44
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:44
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.26%E -2.44%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:45
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.26%E -2.44%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.26%E -2.44%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:44
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.70%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.70%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.70%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:25
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.70%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.13%E -3.03%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.38%E -2.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 23:50
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -5.13%E -3.03%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -8.33%E -3.99%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.69%E -3.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.70%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 23:49
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.69%E -3.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.70%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.69%E -3.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.70%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.69%E -3.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.14%E -2.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 23:44
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.69%E -3.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.01%E -3.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.69%E -3.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.77%E -4.22%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 22:34
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.69%E -3.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.77%E -4.22%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 22:33
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.89%E -3.76%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 22:34
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.89%E -3.76%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 22:25
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.89%E -3.76%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.89%E -3.76%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 23:50
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.05%E -5.59%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -9.62%E -5.97%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -3.07%E -1.39%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 22:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%0.1%2026-02-24 23:55
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-02-24 23:55
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-02-24 23:09
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-02-24 23:54
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%5.3%2026-02-24 22:59