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George Mason Patriots v St. Bonaventure Bonnies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
George Mason Patriots (Local)
Prediction 61.13%1.64fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -4.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%61.16%60.97%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.551.541.5965.79%64.55%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visit)
Prediction 38.87%2.57fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.406%
Kelly +0.659%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%38.84%39.03%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.452.6043.48%40.86%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: George Mason Patriots (Local): 61.13%; St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visit): 38.87%. For St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +1.05%E +0.406%K +0.659%G +0.007% | 2.6% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +0.277%E +0.107%K +0.176%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.111%E -0.043%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.111%E -0.043%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.889%E -0.349%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.80%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.80%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 18:41 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -2.80%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -5.16%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.08%E -4.66%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.94%E -2.46%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.80%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -7.11%E -2.97%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.50%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.86%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.50%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -8.27%E -3.51%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.66%E -3.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.44%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.44%E -4.05%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26% | 2.5% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |