Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.63
assuming max odds 1.34
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: George Mason Patriots (Local): 28.03%; Saint Louis Billikens (Visit): 71.97%. For George Mason Patriots (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +1.74%E +0.479%K +0.662%G +0.012% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -5.72%E -4.36%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.34%E -0.381%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.34%E -0.381%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.90%E -0.544%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.90%E -0.544%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.90%E -0.544%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.72%E -4.36%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 20:58 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.30%E -0.958%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.56%E -2.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.30%E -0.958%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.30%E -0.958%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.71%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.56%E -2.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 21:02 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.95%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.44%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.44%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.44%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.44%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 21:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.44%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.44%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.44%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.44%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.63I 27.55%NM 27.54% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.46% | 0.0% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.03% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.97% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-07 21:05 |