Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.66
assuming max odds 2.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: George Mason Patriots (Local): 59.67%; Liberty Flames (Visit): 40.33%. For George Mason Patriots (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.66, with an expected value of -0.952%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -0.952%E -0.573%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -8.85%E -3.92%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.34%E -2.06%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.34%E -2.06%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.27%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.94%E -2.44%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.19%E -0.484%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.94%E -2.44%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.19%E -0.484%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.94%E -2.44%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.40%E -0.990%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.94%E -2.44%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.82%E -2.04%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -10.46%E -4.71%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -4.53%E -2.83%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -10.46%E -4.71%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.13%E -3.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.19%E -0.484%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 21:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.13%E -3.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.99%E -0.820%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.13%E -3.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.40%E -0.990%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.13%E -3.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.73%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.73%E -3.62%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -8.04%E -3.53%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.32%E -4.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.11%E -5.27%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -8.04%E -3.53%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 21:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82% | -0.0% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-17 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-03-17 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42% | 1.9% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-03-17 21:50 |