Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gardner-Webb Bulldogs v UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gardner-Webb Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 13.43%7.45fair odd
EV +1.40%
Edge +0.186%
Kelly +0.214%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 7.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.62%13.56%13.53%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.897.007.5517.86%14.52%14.29%13.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 86.57%1.16fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -25.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.33%86.44%86.47%87.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1292.59%90.91%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gardner-Webb Bulldogs (Local): 13.43%; UNC Asheville Bulldogs (Visit): 86.57%. For Gardner-Webb Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.45. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV +1.40%E +0.186%K +0.214%G +0.003%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 23:39
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.730%E +0.097%K +0.112%G +0.001%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 23:20
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.730%E +0.097%K +0.112%G +0.001%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 17:05
GTbets🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -1.96%E -0.268%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 19:25
FanDuel🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -1.96%E -0.268%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 23:20
DraftKings🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -2.63%E -0.363%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:20
BetMGM🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.63%E -0.363%K -0.421%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -4.24%E -0.595%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 20:24
LowVig.ag🎯7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -4.24%E -0.595%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 15:05
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:44
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:44
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:44
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:44
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:44
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:45
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:44
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:44
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:44
theScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 16:20
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.99%E -0.855%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 16:20
Fanatics🎯6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV -6.66%E -0.958%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 21:39
Betsson🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -9.34%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.51%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 16:20
Fliff🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -10.69%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 23:19
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.70%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 23:19
TAB🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.70%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.70%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.70%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.51%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 16:20
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.70%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.51%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 16:20
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -16.06%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.42%E -3.24%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 23:44
TABtouch🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.42%E -3.24%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 23:44
Marathon Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -3.04%E -2.72%K -25.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 21:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX7.90I 12.66%NM 12.51%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.49%1.2%2026-02-26 22:50
Polymarket8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-02-26 17:30
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24%2.1%2026-02-26 23:20
Novig7.30I 13.70%NM 13.40%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.60%2.2%2026-02-26 23:54