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Furman Paladins v The Citadel Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Furman Paladins (Local)
Prediction 90.45%1.11fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -45.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.90%90.27%90.50%91.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.061.061.0796.15%94.77%94.34%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 9.55%10.47fair odd
EV +5.02%
Edge +0.456%
Kelly +0.502%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.71%9.73%9.50%12.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.709.489.5011.0012.99%10.55%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Furman Paladins (Local): 90.45%; The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit): 9.55%. For The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.47. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +5.02%E +0.456%K +0.502%G +0.025% | 3.4% | 2026-02-25 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +5.02%E +0.456%K +0.502%G +0.025% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 14:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +3.11%E +0.288%K +0.317%G +0.010% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.246%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 13:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV -0.232%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV -0.232%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV -0.232%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.57%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 10.18I 9.82%NM 9.43%EV -2.81%E -0.276%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.53%E -0.453%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 19:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.53%E -0.453%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.53%E -0.453%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 03:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.53%E -0.453%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 14:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.53%E -0.453%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.53%E -0.453%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.53%E -0.453%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.53%E -0.453%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.53%E -0.453%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 21:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.53%E -0.453%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 22:52 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.93%E -5.70%K -148.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.53%E -0.453%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.30%E -0.979%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.30%E -0.979%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.30%E -0.979%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.30%E -0.979%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.30%E -0.979%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.30%E -0.979%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.30%E -0.979%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -11.69%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 03:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -11.69%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 03:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.08%E -1.56%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 21:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.08%E -1.56%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.08%E -1.56%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 03:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.08%E -1.56%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 03:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.93%E -5.70%K -148.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -14.08%E -1.56%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.93%E -5.70%K -148.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -14.08%E -1.56%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 13:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.93%E -5.70%K -148.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -14.08%E -1.56%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 22:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.22%E -3.01%K -45.94%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.85%E -2.22%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -18.85%E -2.22%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -18.85%E -2.22%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -18.85%E -2.22%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.02%E -4.79%K -100.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.85%E -2.22%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.62%E -2.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.62%E -2.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.62%E -2.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.90%EV -4.12%E -3.89%K -68.67%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -26.49%E -3.44%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 21:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.69% | 15.90I 6.29%NM 6.31% | -0.3% | 2026-02-25 22:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.91% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.09% | 0.0% | 2026-02-25 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.54% | 10.53I 9.50%NM 9.46% | 0.4% | 2026-02-25 22:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-02-25 22:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 19:10 |