Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.34
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fresno St Bulldogs (Local): 74.48%; San José St Spartans (Visit): 25.52%. For Fresno St Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.343. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.340, with an expected value of -0.191%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -0.191%E -0.143%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.68%E -1.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.68%E -1.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.68%E -1.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.68%E -1.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.68%E -1.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.68%E -1.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.68%E -1.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.68%E -1.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.68%E -1.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -1.68%E -1.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.68%E -1.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -14.52%E -4.33%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.43%E -1.85%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.17%E -2.44%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.17%E -2.44%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -3.17%E -2.44%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -11.46%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.17%E -2.44%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.52%E -4.33%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 00:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -3.81%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:41 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -3.55%E -0.939%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.76%E -0.458%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.54%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.46%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-03-04 01:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.16% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.84% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |