Language:English
Fresno St Bulldogs v Boise State Broncos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fresno St Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd
EV -0.022%
Edge -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%26.68%26.68%28.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.513.503.7529.85%28.51%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boise State Broncos (Visit)
Prediction 73.34%1.36fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -7.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.73%73.32%73.32%74.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.311.3380.00%76.80%76.63%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fresno St Bulldogs (Local): 26.66%; Boise State Broncos (Visit): 73.34%. For Fresno St Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.751. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.750, with an expected value of -0.022%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 00:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -0.822%E -0.221%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 00:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.36%E -0.366%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.36%E -0.366%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 00:17 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 00:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 23:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 00:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 00:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.46%E -1.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 00:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.13%E -4.79%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.13%E -4.79%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.69%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 03:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.69%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 00:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.12I 24.27%NM 24.26% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.74% | 0.0% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Novig◎ | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 00:55 |