Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles v Miami Hurricanes

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 02:06 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida St Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.606%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%44.02%43.77%45.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.142.122.2549.02%46.77%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Hurricanes (Visit)

Prediction 56.16%1.78fair odd
EV -0.593%
Edge -0.335%
Kelly -0.770%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.11%55.98%56.23%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.711.7760.61%58.68%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida St Seminoles (Local): 43.84%; Miami Hurricanes (Visit): 56.16%. For Miami Hurricanes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -0.593%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.36%E -0.606%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 02:04
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 02:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 01:59
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 02:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 02:05
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 02:04
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 02:05
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 02:02
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 01:59
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 02:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 02:04
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 02:04
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -6.63%E -3.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -6.77%E -4.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 02:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 02:05
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 02:05
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 02:04
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 02:05
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 02:05
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 02:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 02:05
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 02:00
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 01:59
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 02:00
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -7.50%E -3.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -0.593%E -0.335%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 01:59
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.593%E -0.335%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 02:03
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 02:05
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 02:05
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -8.38%E -4.01%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 01:59
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 02:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%-0.2%2026-02-25 01:59
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-02-25 02:05
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-02-25 02:05
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-02-25 02:05
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%5.0%2026-02-25 02:05