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Florida Gulf Coast Eagles v North Alabama Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (Local)
Prediction 76.33%1.31fair odd
EV +0.750%
Edge +0.568%
Kelly +2.34%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.12%76.01%76.26%77.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.241.3281.97%79.98%80.65%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
North Alabama Lions (Visit)
Prediction 23.67%4.22fair odd
EV +2.75%
Edge +0.633%
Kelly +0.823%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 4.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.99%23.74%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.974.004.3430.77%25.19%25.00%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (Local): 76.33%; North Alabama Lions (Visit): 23.67%. For North Alabama Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +2.75%E +0.633%K +0.823%G +0.023% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +2.75%E +0.633%K +0.823%G +0.023% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.617%E +0.145%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 19:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.567%E -0.135%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.567%E -0.135%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.567%E -0.135%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.567%E -0.135%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.567%E -0.135%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.567%E -0.135%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.567%E -0.135%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:33 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.567%E -0.135%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.567%E -0.135%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.567%E -0.135%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.567%E -0.135%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -1.75%E -0.422%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.93%E -0.716%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.07%E -2.41%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.83%E -3.04%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.49%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.83%E -3.04%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.49%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 19:28 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.36%E -4.32%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.07%E -2.41%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.12%E -4.98%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 19:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.12%E -4.98%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.04%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.54%E -1.19%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.30%E -1.80%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.40%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.30%E -1.80%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.40%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.30%E -1.80%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.77%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -2.30%E -1.80%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -15.96%E -4.49%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -0.777%E -0.598%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -21.87%E -6.63%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV +0.750%E +0.568%K +2.34%G +0.018% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -23.06%E -7.09%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 19:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 80.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.02% | 22.3% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 80.66% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 19.34% | 24.0% | 2026-03-04 19:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 52.36% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 47.64% | 89.1% | 2026-03-04 19:35 |