Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles v Central Arkansas Bears

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

49%

51%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (Local)

Prediction 49.15%2.03fair odd

EV -2.68%

Edge -1.35%

Kelly -2.73%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.28%49.25%49.06%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.851.931.931.9854.05%51.94%51.81%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Arkansas Bears (Visit)

Prediction 50.85%1.97fair odd

EV -2.88%

Edge -1.51%

Kelly -3.17%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.00%50.75%50.94%51.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.861.871.9155.56%53.80%53.62%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (Local): 49.15%; Central Arkansas Bears (Visit): 50.85%. For Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.98, with an expected value of -2.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.68%E -1.35%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-02-21 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.66%E -1.87%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-21 18:55
Neds🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.66%E -1.87%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-21 18:55
Betway🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-21 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-21 18:29
Virgin Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-21 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-21 18:35
theScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-21 18:30
Pinnacle🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-21 18:45
TAB🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 18:20
LeoVegas🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 18:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 18:35
betPARX🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 18:35
Unibet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.92%K -6.31%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 18:35
DraftKings🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.13%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.90%E -2.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-21 18:20
FanDuel🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.13%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.90%E -2.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-21 18:20
TABtouch🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.13%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-21 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.13%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-21 18:35
BetRivers🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.13%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-21 18:35
Bovada🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-21 18:24
Caesars🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-21 18:24
888sport🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-02-21 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-02-21 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-02-21 18:30
BoyleSports🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-21 18:30
PlayUp🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-21 18:35
Coral🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-02-21 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-02-21 18:55
Fliff🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-02-21 18:25
1xBet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 18:25
Paddy Power🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 18:20
NordicBet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.61%E -3.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-21 18:30
Betsson🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.61%E -3.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-21 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.32%K -9.29%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-21 18:34
William Hill🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.07%E -4.90%K -10.67%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-21 18:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	1.1%	2026-02-21 18:55
Novig◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%	1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%	1.7%	2026-02-21 18:50
ProphetX◎	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.97%	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.03%	1.7%	2026-02-21 18:45
Kalshi◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%	2.1%	2026-02-21 18:55