Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Florida Gators v Vanderbilt Commodores

Início: 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Florida Gators (Local)

Previsão 73.68%1.36odd justa
EV -3.48%
Vantagem -2.66%
Kelly -11.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.74%73.63%73.68%74.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.291.291.3180.00%77.56%77.52%76.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vanderbilt Commodores (Visitante)

Previsão 26.32%3.80odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.343%
Kelly -0.467%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.60%26.37%26.32%28.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.603.653.7530.30%27.79%27.40%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Florida Gators (Local): 73.68%; Vanderbilt Commodores (Visitante): 26.32%. Para Vanderbilt Commodores (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.75, com valor esperado de -1.29%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.48%E -2.66%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.48%E -2.66%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:33
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -2.07%E -0.558%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 16:45
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 16:34
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:15
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 16:05
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -8.66%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 16:00
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.50%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 16:55
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.50%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.13%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:19
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.29%E -0.343%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.29%E -0.343%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 16:38
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 16:34
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 16:44
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 16:10
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:54
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:05
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.69%E -4.45%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 16:05
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.69%E -4.45%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 16:05
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.69%E -4.45%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.69%E -4.45%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.18%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -5.69%E -4.45%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -9.45%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.43%E -5.06%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.43%E -5.06%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.43%E -5.06%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 16:00
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.43%E -5.06%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 16:00
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.90%E -6.32%K -31.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.90%E -6.32%K -31.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-14 16:00
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.90%3.94I 25.38%NM 25.10%1.1%2026-03-14 16:55
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-03-14 16:55
BetOpenly1.30I 76.92%NM 75.66%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.34%1.7%2026-03-14 16:55
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-03-14 16:50