L’École des cotes

Florida Gators v Vanderbilt Commodores

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Florida Gators (Local)

Prévision 73.68%1.36cote équitable
EV -3.48%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -11.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.74%73.63%73.68%74.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.291.291.3180.00%77.56%77.52%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vanderbilt Commodores (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.32%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.343%
Kelly -0.467%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.60%26.37%26.32%28.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.603.653.7530.30%27.79%27.40%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.48%E -2.66%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 16:15
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.48%E -2.66%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:33
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -2.07%E -0.558%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 16:55
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 16:55
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 16:45
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 16:34
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 16:40
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:45
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:14
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:15
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 16:05
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -8.66%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 16:00
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.50%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 16:55
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.50%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 16:55
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.22%E -3.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.13%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:19
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.29%E -0.343%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.29%E -0.343%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 16:38
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 16:34
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 16:44
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 16:10
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:54
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.92%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 16:50
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:05
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.96%E -3.84%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.69%E -4.45%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 16:05
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.69%E -4.45%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.60%E -0.703%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 16:05
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.69%E -4.45%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 16:50
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.69%E -4.45%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.18%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -5.69%E -4.45%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -9.45%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.43%E -5.06%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:50
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.43%E -5.06%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:50
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.43%E -5.06%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 16:00
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.43%E -5.06%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 16:00
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.90%E -6.32%K -31.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.90%E -6.32%K -31.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-14 16:00
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.90%3.94I 25.38%NM 25.10%1.1%2026-03-14 16:55
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-03-14 16:55
BetOpenly1.30I 76.92%NM 75.66%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.34%1.7%2026-03-14 16:55
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-03-14 16:50