Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.19
assuming max odds 5.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 82.15%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 17.85%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.601. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.600, with an expected value of -0.015%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.11%EV -2.25%E -1.89%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.89%EV -2.52%E -0.461%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.07%E -2.60%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -2.52%E -0.461%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -2.52%E -0.461%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.33%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV -2.69%E -0.494%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.59%E -0.664%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -3.59%E -0.664%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 23:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -13.41%E -2.76%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -0.908%E -0.164%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -3.59%E -0.664%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.99%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV -5.73%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.664%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.664%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.51%E -2.55%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.51%E -2.55%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.19%E -3.20%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.18%E -6.35%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.18%E -6.35%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.22% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.78% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67% | 1.7% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |