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Florida Gators v Arkansas Razorbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Florida Gators (Local)
Prediction 80.78%1.24fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -15.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%80.80%80.91%82.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.181.2087.72%84.81%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)
Prediction 19.22%5.20fair odd
EV +5.70%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.42%19.20%19.09%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.834.805.5022.73%20.71%20.83%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 80.78%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 19.22%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.20. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.29%E -5.43%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +5.70%E +1.04%K +1.27%G +0.072% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 00:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.73%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.27%EV +1.47%E +0.279%K +0.344%G +0.005% | 3.7% | 2026-03-01 01:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +0.897%E +0.171%K +0.211%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 17:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.91%E -6.94%K -56.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -0.064%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.02%E -0.199%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.02%E -0.199%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.02%E -0.199%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -1.99%E -0.389%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 01:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 17:17 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.49%E -4.69%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.49%E -4.69%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.49%E -4.69%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 01:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.49%E -4.69%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 01:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.29%E -5.43%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 01:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.10%E -6.18%K -47.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 01:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.91%E -6.94%K -56.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 21:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.87%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 01:27 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.83%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 01:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.83%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 01:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.83%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 01:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.06%E -2.55%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 01:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.68%E -3.96%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.06%E -2.55%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.71%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.71%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 01:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.71%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.29%E -5.43%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.67%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.29%E -5.43%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.67%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.06%E -2.55%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.87%E -3.25%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.49%E -4.69%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 01:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.49%E -4.69%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 01:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.33% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.67% | 0.0% | 2026-03-01 01:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 01:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-01 01:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 01:35 |