A Escola das Odds

Evansville Purple Aces v Valparaiso Beacons

Início: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Evansville Purple Aces (Local)

Previsão 32.42%3.08odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.363%
Kelly -0.540%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.46%32.39%32.53%33.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.912.903.0536.36%34.41%34.48%32.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Valparaiso Beacons (Visitante)

Previsão 67.58%1.48odd justa
EV -2.69%
Vantagem -1.87%
Kelly -6.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.11%67.61%67.47%68.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.30%71.43%69.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.11%E -0.363%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 18:23
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.73%E -0.910%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 16:45
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 17:24
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 16:45
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 18:41
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 16:10
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 15:30
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.04%E -2.85%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:24
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 16:45
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 16:45
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 16:40
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 16:10
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:29
SportsBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.42%E -5.42%K -20.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:24
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.69%E -1.87%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 16:10
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 15:10
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.04%E -2.85%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 18:24
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.04%E -2.85%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:24
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.42%E -5.42%K -20.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 19:02
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.42%E -5.42%K -20.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 16:30
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 16:44
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.07%E -4.37%K -15.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 17:24
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 16:45
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 16:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly3.24I 30.86%NM 30.92%1.45I 68.97%NM 69.08%-0.2%2026-02-28 18:40
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-02-28 20:54
Polymarket3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-02-28 15:40
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-02-28 15:50
Novig3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%2.4%2026-02-28 20:54