L’École des cotes

Evansville Purple Aces v Valparaiso Beacons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Evansville Purple Aces (Local)

Prévision 32.42%3.08cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.363%
Kelly -0.540%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.46%32.39%32.53%33.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.912.903.0536.36%34.41%34.48%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Valparaiso Beacons (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.58%1.48cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -6.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.11%67.61%67.47%68.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.30%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.11%E -0.363%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 18:23
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.73%E -0.910%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 16:45
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.38%E -1.13%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 17:24
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 16:45
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 18:41
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 16:10
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 15:30
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.04%E -2.85%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:24
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 16:45
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 16:45
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 16:40
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 16:10
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:29
SportsBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.42%E -5.42%K -20.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:24
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.69%E -1.87%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 16:10
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.37%E -2.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 15:10
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.04%E -2.85%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 18:24
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.04%E -2.85%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:24
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.42%E -5.42%K -20.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 19:02
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.42%E -5.42%K -20.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 16:30
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 16:44
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.07%E -4.37%K -15.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 17:24
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 16:45
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.10%E -5.95%K -22.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly3.24I 30.86%NM 30.92%1.45I 68.97%NM 69.08%-0.2%2026-02-28 18:40
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%0.3%2026-02-28 20:54
Polymarket3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-02-28 15:40
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-02-28 15:50
Novig3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%2.4%2026-02-28 20:54