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Evansville Purple Aces v Southern Illinois Salukis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Evansville Purple Aces (Local)
Prediction 21.59%4.63fair odd
EV +5.80%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.67%21.70%21.70%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.944.404.454.9025.38%22.74%22.47%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit)
Prediction 78.41%1.28fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -11.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.36%78.30%78.30%80.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.72%82.64%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Evansville Purple Aces (Local): 21.59%; Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit): 78.41%. For Evansville Purple Aces (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +5.80%E +1.18%K +1.49%G +0.086% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.91%E -4.93%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +2.57%E +0.540%K +0.684%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.91%E -4.93%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 20:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%EV -0.026%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%EV -4.34%E -3.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 20:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 20:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.673%E -0.146%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.91%E -4.93%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.34%E -3.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.34%E -3.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.34%E -3.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 20:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.34%E -3.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 20:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.91%E -4.93%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.91%E -4.93%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.91%E -4.93%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.83%E -0.629%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.26%E -7.06%K -48.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 20:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.91%E -0.879%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.99%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.56%E -2.89%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 20:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.91%E -4.93%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 20:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -7.15%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.56%E -2.89%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 20:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -7.80%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.34%E -3.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.34%E -3.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.91%E -4.93%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.48%E -6.34%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.48%E -6.34%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.13%E -4.24%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.91%E -4.93%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.91%E -4.93%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -10.39%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -5.91%E -4.93%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 20:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.47%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.78%E -2.24%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.34%E -3.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -14.92%E -3.79%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.36%EV -4.34%E -3.56%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.71% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 20:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 20:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 20:54 |
| Novig◎ | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.81% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.19% | 1.4% | 2026-03-01 20:44 |