Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.92
assuming max odds 1.49
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elon Phoenix (Local): 34.16%; UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Visit): 65.84%. For Elon Phoenix (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.92, with an expected value of -0.253%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.253%E -0.087%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 23:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.30%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.64%E -0.928%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 06:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.64%E -0.928%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 13:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.21%E -2.19%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.87%E -2.65%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -5.04%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 20:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -5.04%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 20:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -5.38%E -1.94%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -3.21%E -2.19%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-03 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 13:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 12:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.40%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 12:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.21%E -2.19%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.82%E -5.59%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.82%E -5.59%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 12:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14% | 0.1% | 2026-03-03 21:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 1.4% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 20:25 |