Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elon Phoenix (Local): 74.46%; North Carolina A&T Aggies (Visit): 25.54%. For North Carolina A&T Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.17%E +0.542%K +0.722%G +0.016% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.542%K +0.722%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.17%E +0.542%K +0.722%G +0.016% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 23:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV +0.379%E +0.097%K +0.130%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.387%E -0.099%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 23:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.387%E -0.099%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -8.42%E -6.84%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.26%EV -1.92%E -0.500%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -3.45%E -0.913%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 02:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 23:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -4.98%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -9.16%E -7.51%K -41.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -9.16%E -7.51%K -41.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.44%E -4.28%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -11.37%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.88%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 77.11% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.89% | -0.2% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.56% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.44% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |