Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Michigan Eagles v Bowling Green Falcons

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Michigan Eagles (Local)

Prediction 33.62%2.97fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.858%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%33.76%33.57%36.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.812.852.9039.22%35.61%35.09%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bowling Green Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 66.38%1.51fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.28%66.24%66.43%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.431.4871.43%69.83%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eastern Michigan Eagles (Local): 33.62%; Bowling Green Falcons (Visit): 66.38%. For Bowling Green Falcons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.48, with an expected value of -1.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.49%E -0.858%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.49%E -0.858%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.49%E -0.858%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 21:50
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.49%E -0.858%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.49%E -0.858%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 21:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.16%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:10
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.16%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:10
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.16%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:10
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.16%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.16%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.16%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.16%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:10
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.50%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:24
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.17%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 21:10
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.17%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 21:10
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.17%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 21:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.17%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 21:10
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.17%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 21:15
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.17%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 23:24
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.17%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 21:09
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.17%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 21:50
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.85%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.85%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:10
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.85%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:10
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.85%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:10
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.85%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:10
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.85%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.85%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.85%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 21:10
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -7.20%E -2.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -2.43%E -1.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 21:10
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 21:10
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 21:10
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.07%E -5.05%K -17.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:10
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.07%E -5.05%K -17.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:10
SportsBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -8.88%E -3.28%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 21:10
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 21:20
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.07%E -5.05%K -17.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.21%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.07%E -5.05%K -17.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 21:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -9.89%E -3.69%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 23:20
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -11.90%E -4.54%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -14.26%E -5.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -1.76%E -1.19%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82%1.49I 67.11%NM 67.18%-0.1%2026-03-06 23:19
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-03-06 22:44
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%1.6%2026-03-06 23:24
Novig2.93I 34.13%NM 33.56%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.44%1.7%2026-03-06 23:20
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-03-06 23:14