Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Kentucky Colonels v Stetson Hatters

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Local)

Prediction 68.29%1.46fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -5.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%68.32%68.18%70.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4375.19%71.49%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stetson Hatters (Visit)

Prediction 31.71%3.15fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.456%
Kelly +0.663%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.75%31.68%31.82%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.942.903.2035.71%34.05%34.48%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Local): 68.29%; Stetson Hatters (Visit): 31.71%. For Stetson Hatters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +1.46%E +0.456%K +0.663%G +0.010%4.8%2026-03-04 21:30
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -9.17%E -6.89%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -0.444%E -0.141%K -0.207%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 21:30
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -2.35%E -0.762%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 21:40
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 21:33
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 21:40
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 21:44
Everygame🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:25
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:50
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:30
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.71%E -2.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:43
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 21:55
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.71%E -2.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.71%E -2.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:55
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.71%E -2.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:55
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.71%E -2.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.71%E -2.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:55
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:55
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.44%E -4.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:24
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.44%E -4.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.71%E -2.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.71%E -2.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:55
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 21:35
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.34%E -1.64%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.34%E -1.64%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 21:55
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.71%E -2.63%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:39
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -5.07%E -3.65%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -10.27%E -3.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 21:40
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:25
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-03-04 21:55
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-04 21:55
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-03-04 21:35
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%2.6%2026-03-04 21:55
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%2.9%2026-03-04 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-03-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%3.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%3.7%2026-03-04 21:45