Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Kentucky Colonels v Lipscomb Bisons

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Local)

Prediction 43.63%2.29fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.53%43.68%44.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.182.2247.62%46.00%45.87%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lipscomb Bisons (Visit)

Prediction 56.37%1.77fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -5.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.81%56.47%56.32%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7161.73%59.40%59.52%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Local): 43.63%; Lipscomb Bisons (Visit): 56.37%. For Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -3.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.14%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.86%E -3.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 10:34
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 03:49
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 09:24
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 16:13
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:43
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.73%E -2.80%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.73%E -2.80%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 03:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.73%E -2.80%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:13
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.86%E -3.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.86%E -3.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.86%E -3.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.86%E -3.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:04
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.86%E -3.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 10:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.68%E -5.36%K -14.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:04
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.89%E -2.24%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 16:04
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.89%E -2.24%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.89%E -2.24%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.89%E -2.24%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.89%E -2.24%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:14
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.89%E -2.24%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:14
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.89%E -2.24%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.89%E -2.24%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:14
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.89%E -2.24%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.73%E -2.80%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 18:04
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.89%E -2.24%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.30%E -3.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.32%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.30%E -3.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:14
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.32%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.30%E -3.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:14
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.32%E -2.45%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.30%E -3.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:14
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.76%E -2.67%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.76%E -2.67%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.30%E -3.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:14
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.20%E -2.88%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.20%E -2.88%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.30%E -3.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 15:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.20%E -2.88%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.30%E -3.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 15:35
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.20%E -2.88%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.86%E -3.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 03:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.20%E -2.88%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.86%E -3.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 18:14
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.51%E -3.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.99%E -4.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 19:04
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.51%E -3.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.99%E -4.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.38%E -3.99%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.99%E -4.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 15:35
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.38%E -3.99%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.99%E -4.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 15:35
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.38%E -3.99%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.99%E -4.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%-0.1%2026-02-28 18:49
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-02-28 19:34
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-02-28 18:04
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-02-28 20:54
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-02-28 20:39