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East Texas A&M Lions v Incarnate Word Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
East Texas A&M Lions (Local)
Prediction 62.43%1.60fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.95%62.52%62.95%65.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.531.5769.44%65.72%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Incarnate Word Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 37.57%2.66fair odd
EV +3.33%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.063%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%37.48%37.05%39.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.502.7541.67%39.61%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Texas A&M Lions (Local): 62.43%; Incarnate Word Cardinals (Visit): 37.57%. For Incarnate Word Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +3.33%E +1.21%K +1.90%G +0.063% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 22:27 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -8.23%E -5.60%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV +2.20%E +0.810%K +1.28%G +0.028% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.428%E -0.162%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.428%E -0.162%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.428%E -0.162%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.74%E -3.80%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.56%E -0.594%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 22:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.31%E -0.887%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.31%E -0.887%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.62%E -1.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.06%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.06%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.99%E -4.69%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.06%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.06%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.06%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.82%E -2.75%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.82%E -2.75%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.82%E -2.75%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.82%E -2.75%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.82%E -2.75%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.82%E -2.75%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.82%E -2.75%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.86%E -2.51%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.82%E -2.75%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.57%E -3.08%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.99%E -1.27%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.99%E -1.27%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.86%E -2.51%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.69%E -3.58%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.82%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 22:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68% | 2.9% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |