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East Tennessee St Buccaneers v The Citadel Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Local)
Prediction 89.93%1.11fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -35.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%89.79%89.95%91.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.061.0895.24%93.77%93.90%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 10.07%9.93fair odd
EV +10.74%
Edge +0.976%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.115%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.71%10.21%10.05%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.688.5011.0014.29%11.52%11.76%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Local): 89.93%; The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit): 10.07%. For The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.93. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.57%E -5.31%K -111.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.74%E +0.976%K +1.07%G +0.115% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.672%E +0.067%K +0.075%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 16:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.672%E +0.067%K +0.075%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.672%E +0.067%K +0.075%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.31%EV -3.77%E -3.53%K -53.88%G +0.000% | 9.97I 10.03%NM 9.69%EV +0.370%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -0.335%E -0.034%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.11%EV -3.77%E -3.53%K -53.88%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.89%EV -1.85%E -0.189%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.93%EV -3.77%E -3.53%K -53.88%G +0.000% | 9.56I 10.46%NM 10.07%EV -3.76%E -0.393%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.93%EV -3.77%E -3.53%K -53.88%G +0.000% | 9.56I 10.46%NM 10.07%EV -3.76%E -0.393%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.77%E -3.53%K -53.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -4.36%E -0.459%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.36%E -0.459%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.36%E -0.459%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.36%E -0.459%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -3.77%E -3.53%K -53.88%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV -6.88%E -0.744%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.77%E -3.53%K -53.88%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -11.91%E -1.36%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -11.91%E -1.36%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -11.91%E -1.36%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.77%E -3.53%K -53.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.43%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.43%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.43%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.57%E -5.31%K -111.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.43%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.57%E -5.31%K -111.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.43%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.57%E -5.31%K -111.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.43%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.57%E -5.31%K -111.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.43%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.57%E -5.31%K -111.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.57%E -5.31%K -111.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.46%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -4.67%E -4.41%K -77.85%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -21.98%E -2.84%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -29.53%E -4.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.87%E -2.66%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -29.53%E -4.22%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 92.05% | 12.62I 7.92%NM 7.95% | -0.3% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.33% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.67% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 15:05 |