Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Tennessee St Buccaneers v Furman Paladins

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 51.32%1.95fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.36%51.43%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.841.831.8855.56%54.37%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Furman Paladins (Visit)

Prediction 48.68%2.05fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.64%48.57%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0054.64%51.40%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Local): 51.32%; Furman Paladins (Visit): 48.68%. For Furman Paladins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -2.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 22:50
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.08%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 15:29
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.08%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 22:44
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.08%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.54%E -3.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 22:35
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.54%E -3.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 22:35
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.54%E -2.44%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.08%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:54
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.08%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 22:59
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.08%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 15:29
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.08%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 22:00
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.49%E -4.52%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 22:55
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.73%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-09 22:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.56%E -3.02%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.65%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.56%E -3.02%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.65%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -5.56%E -3.02%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -8.00%E -4.23%K -8.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.65%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 16:14
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.65%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 16:14
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.65%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.65%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.65%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:19
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.65%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 21:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.65%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 16:15
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.65%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 21:55
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.11%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 22:54
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.11%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.08%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 22:59
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 19:24
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.92%E -5.97%K -13.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 21:49
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.59%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.59%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.10%E -3.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.54%E -3.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.08%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.08%E -2.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.54%E -3.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:29
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.54%E -3.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:29
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 23:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-09 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-03-09 22:55
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-03-09 23:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-03-09 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-03-09 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-03-09 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-03-09 22:50
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%4.7%2026-03-09 23:00