Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates v Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 21.60%4.63fair odd
EV +5.85%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.088%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.67%21.62%21.54%24.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.344.354.9026.32%23.03%22.99%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Visit)

Prediction 78.40%1.28fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -8.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.70%78.38%78.46%80.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.221.211.2583.33%82.30%82.64%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 21.60%; Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Visit): 78.40%. For East Carolina Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +5.85%E +1.19%K +1.50%G +0.088%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.92%E -4.94%K -29.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 12:20
GTbets🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +4.34%E +0.898%K +1.13%G +0.049%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.92%E -4.94%K -29.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 20:19
BetOnline.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +4.34%E +0.898%K +1.13%G +0.049%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.92%E -4.94%K -29.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +4.34%E +0.898%K +1.13%G +0.049%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.92%E -4.94%K -29.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 12:20
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.631%E -0.137%K -0.175%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 23:35
Caesars🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.631%E -0.137%K -0.175%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 12:20
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.35%E -3.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 23:35
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.35%E -3.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.35%E -3.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 23:35
Everygame🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.35%E -3.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:50
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:50
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:50
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:50
Pinnacle🎯4.48I 22.32%NM 21.54%EV -3.22%E -0.719%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.46%EV -3.57%E -2.90%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-05 23:55
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.35%E -3.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:35
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.35%E -3.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:34
Betr (AU)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.35%E -3.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:50
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.57%E -2.90%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 18:40
Bet Right🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.35%E -3.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 23:50
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 23:50
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 23:50
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.14%E -4.25%K -24.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.92%E -4.94%K -29.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 23:35
Fliff🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -10.35%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -5.92%E -4.94%K -29.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 23:35
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.00%E -1.60%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 23:35
TAB🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.79%E -2.25%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:35
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.92%E -4.94%K -29.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 23:40
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.92%E -4.94%K -29.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 23:35
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.92%E -4.94%K -29.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.79%E -2.25%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 23:35
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.79%E -2.25%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 23:35
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.35%E -3.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 23:40
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.35%E -3.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 23:35
1xBet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -14.46%E -3.65%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -3.57%E -2.90%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -17.91%E -4.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.35%E -3.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 23:35
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -17.91%E -4.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.35%E -3.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59%0.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-03-05 23:35
Polymarket5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-03-05 23:35
ProphetX4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%2.4%2026-03-05 23:55
Novig4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%3.1%2026-03-05 23:55