Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates v Memphis Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 36.40%2.75fair odd
EV +0.106%
Edge +0.038%
Kelly +0.060%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.04%36.47%36.37%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.582.552.7540.82%38.80%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 63.60%1.57fair odd
EV -0.787%
Edge -0.505%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.53%63.63%64.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.35%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 36.40%; Memphis Tigers (Visit): 63.60%. For East Carolina Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.747. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.750, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.106%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.106%E +0.038%K +0.060%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 18:54
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -0.986%E -0.363%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 18:09
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.71%E -0.635%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.71%E -0.635%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 18:54
SportsBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.04%EV -2.81%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.96%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 18:43
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 17:14
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 18:55
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.53%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 18:55
BetUS🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.26%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 18:39
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -4.63%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 17:14
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 17:14
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 18:54
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 18:55
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 18:54
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -6.08%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 17:14
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -6.08%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -3.97%E -2.63%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 18:55
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -0.787%E -0.505%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 18:41
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.42%E -0.918%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.06%E -1.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 18:54
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.06%E -1.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.06%E -1.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 18:54
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.06%E -1.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 18:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.06%E -1.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.06%E -1.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 18:54
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.06%E -1.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 18:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.06%E -1.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.97%E -2.63%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 17:44
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:44
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:54
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:54
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.97%E -2.63%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 18:54
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.97%E -2.63%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 18:54
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 18:54
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -9.36%E -3.76%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 18:55
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%0.1%2026-03-01 18:55
Novig2.87I 34.84%NM 34.62%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.38%0.6%2026-03-01 18:54
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-03-01 18:54
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-03-01 18:45
BetOpenly2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%1.3%2026-03-01 18:54