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Duke Blue Devils v Virginia Cavaliers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Duke Blue Devils (Local)
Prediction 71.74%1.39fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -9.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.31%71.70%71.84%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.321.321.3576.92%75.76%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Virginia Cavaliers (Visit)
Prediction 28.26%3.54fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.481%
Kelly +0.666%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%28.30%28.16%29.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.403.6032.26%29.66%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 71.74%; Virginia Cavaliers (Visit): 28.26%. For Virginia Cavaliers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.02%E -4.59%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.73%E +0.481%K +0.666%G +0.012% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.58%E -3.45%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.09%E -0.313%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.09%E -0.313%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.02%E -4.59%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.09%E -0.313%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -1.94%E -0.560%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 00:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.58%E -3.45%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.51%E -0.727%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 23:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.02%E -4.59%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -2.79%E -0.811%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.91%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.09%EV -3.07%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 00:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 00:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.58%E -3.45%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.58%E -3.45%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.58%E -3.45%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 00:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.92%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.18%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.58%E -3.45%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.58%E -3.45%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.75%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.15%E -2.33%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.58%E -3.45%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.58%E -3.45%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.16%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -10.14%E -3.19%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.58%E -3.45%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.32% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-03-15 00:33 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10% | 2.3% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |