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Duke Blue Devils v Siena Saints
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Duke Blue Devils (Local)
Prediction 97.38%1.03fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -164.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.10%96.84%97.30%98.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.001.01100.00%99.50%99.50%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Siena Saints (Visit)
Prediction 2.62%38.13fair odd
EV +112.44%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +1.58%
assuming max odds 81.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.22%3.16%2.70%6.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.5044.1751.0081.007.41%2.26%1.96%1.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 97.38%; Siena Saints (Visit): 2.62%. For Siena Saints (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 38.13. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 81.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +112.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.78%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 81.00I 1.23%NM 1.22%EV +112.44%E +1.39%K +1.41%G +1.58% | 1.2% | 2026-03-18 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +59.99%E +0.983%K +1.000%G +0.600% | 1.6% | 2026-03-16 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +59.99%E +0.983%K +1.000%G +0.600% | 1.6% | 2026-03-16 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.36%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 60.52I 1.65%NM 1.64%EV +58.73%E +0.970%K +0.987%G +0.579% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +46.87%E +0.837%K +0.852%G +0.399% | 1.8% | 2026-03-19 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +33.76%E +0.662%K +0.675%G +0.228% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +33.76%E +0.662%K +0.675%G +0.228% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +33.76%E +0.662%K +0.675%G +0.228% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +33.76%E +0.662%K +0.675%G +0.228% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +33.76%E +0.662%K +0.675%G +0.228% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +33.76%E +0.662%K +0.675%G +0.228% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +33.76%E +0.662%K +0.675%G +0.228% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +33.76%E +0.662%K +0.675%G +0.228% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +33.76%E +0.662%K +0.675%G +0.228% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +33.76%E +0.662%K +0.675%G +0.228% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +33.76%E +0.662%K +0.675%G +0.228% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +20.65%E +0.449%K +0.459%G +0.095% | 2.2% | 2026-03-19 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV -5.58%E -0.155%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-16 17:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV -5.58%E -0.155%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-19 15:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -1.65%E -1.63%K -164.90%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV -10.83%E -0.318%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-16 20:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -10.83%E -0.318%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -44.92%E -2.14%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -50.17%E -2.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 13:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -60.66%E -4.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.10%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV -64.59%E -4.78%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.10%EV -2.62%E -2.62%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV -64.59%E -4.78%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.90% | 90.91I 1.10%NM 1.10% | 0.1% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.69% | 76.00I 1.32%NM 1.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.64% | 278.50I 0.36%NM 0.36% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 18:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.59% | 69.93I 1.43%NM 1.41% | 1.4% | 2026-03-19 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.23% | 55.56I 1.80%NM 1.77% | 1.8% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |