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Duke Blue Devils v Florida St Seminoles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Duke Blue Devils (Local)
Prediction 91.36%1.09fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -52.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.46%91.33%91.46%93.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.051.041.0698.04%95.68%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Florida St Seminoles (Visit)
Prediction 8.64%11.57fair odd
EV +20.98%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.339%
assuming max odds 14.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.79%8.67%8.54%10.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.3810.0014.0011.11%9.63%10.00%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 91.36%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 8.64%. For Florida St Seminoles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.57. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.81%E -6.68%K -340.71%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +20.98%E +1.50%K +1.61%G +0.339% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.69%G +0.000% | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +19.25%E +1.40%K +1.50%G +0.290% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.24%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.68%G +0.000% | 12.36I 8.09%NM 7.76%EV +6.81%E +0.551%K +0.599%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.24%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.68%G +0.000% | 12.36I 8.09%NM 7.76%EV +6.81%E +0.551%K +0.599%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.07%E -3.88%K -81.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +3.70%E +0.308%K +0.336%G +0.012% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.07%E -3.88%K -81.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +3.70%E +0.308%K +0.336%G +0.012% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.80%EV -4.07%E -3.88%K -81.47%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.20%EV +1.54%E +0.131%K +0.143%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.07%E -3.88%K -81.47%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -0.624%E -0.054%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.68%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -0.624%E -0.054%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.68%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -2.78%E -0.247%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.07%E -3.88%K -81.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.94%E -0.449%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.94%E -0.449%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.94%E -0.449%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.94%E -0.449%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.94%E -0.449%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 22:47 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -9.27%E -0.882%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -9.27%E -0.882%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.75%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.69%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.25%EV -12.72%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.59%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.59%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.69%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -13.59%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.69%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -13.59%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 22:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.69%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -13.59%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.90%E -5.73%K -196.69%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -13.59%E -1.36%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.74%EV -4.99%E -4.80%K -124.68%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.26%EV -21.36%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -22.23%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -22.23%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -22.23%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.16%E -2.98%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -22.23%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.07%E -3.88%K -81.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -22.23%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.07%E -3.88%K -81.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -22.23%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.07%E -3.88%K -81.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -22.23%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.07%E -3.88%K -81.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -22.23%E -2.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.44% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.56% | -0.1% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.5% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.5% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.43% | 14.93I 6.70%NM 6.57% | 1.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84% | 2.2% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |