Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 82.88%1.21fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -17.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%82.75%82.96%83.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.151.151.1789.29%87.28%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 17.12%5.84fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.173%
Kelly +0.209%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.19%17.25%17.04%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.385.385.9020.00%18.59%18.60%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 82.88%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 17.12%. For Clemson Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.52%E -4.84%K -39.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +1.02%E +0.173%K +0.209%G +0.002%4.7%2026-03-14 01:29
ReBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.52%E -4.84%K -39.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +1.02%E +0.173%K +0.209%G +0.002%4.7%2026-03-14 01:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.37%E -0.239%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 21:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.37%E -0.239%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 21:29
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.55%E -0.269%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.35%E -5.62%K -48.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.55%E -0.269%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 21:30
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.14%EV -3.86%E -3.33%K -24.14%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.86%EV -2.06%E -0.360%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:25
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.40%E -0.421%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 21:30
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.11%E -0.735%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 01:27
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.11%E -0.735%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 21:28
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.86%E -3.33%K -24.14%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -4.97%E -0.896%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.86%E -3.33%K -24.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.83%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 23:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.86%E -3.33%K -24.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.83%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.83%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 21:29
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.18%E -6.41%K -59.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.83%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 21:30
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.18%E -6.41%K -59.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.83%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 21:30
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.18%E -6.41%K -59.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.83%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 21:29
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.18%E -6.41%K -59.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.83%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 21:50
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.54%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.54%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 23:30
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.35%E -5.62%K -48.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.54%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 01:29
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.56%EV -6.35%E -5.62%K -48.83%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -8.40%E -1.57%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.11%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:25
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.11%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.11%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:25
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.11%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.11%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:25
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.11%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.11%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:25
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.96%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.96%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 01:25
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.96%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 01:25
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.96%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 01:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.88%EV -5.52%E -4.84%K -39.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -11.82%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -12.68%E -2.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 01:24
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.03%E -2.59%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.39%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 21:45
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.03%E -2.59%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.39%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.69%E -4.08%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.39%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 01:29
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.52%E -4.84%K -39.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.39%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 21:35
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.35%E -5.62%K -48.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.39%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.35%E -5.62%K -48.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.39%E -2.88%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 23:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.19I 84.03%NM 84.80%6.64I 15.06%NM 15.20%-0.9%2026-03-14 01:29
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-14 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-03-14 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-03-14 00:15
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.45%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.55%1.6%2026-03-14 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-03-14 01:30
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-03-14 01:30
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-03-14 01:30