Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drexel Dragons v Towson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drexel Dragons (Local)

Prediction 42.02%2.38fair odd
EV +0.858%
Edge +0.358%
Kelly +0.613%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%41.92%42.04%44.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.252.252.4048.08%44.36%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Towson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 57.98%1.72fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.848%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.03%58.08%57.96%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.651.7063.69%60.90%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drexel Dragons (Local): 42.02%; Towson Tigers (Visit): 57.98%. For Drexel Dragons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.858%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.858%E +0.358%K +0.613%G +0.005%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.24%E -0.529%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.24%E -0.529%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.24%E -0.529%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 18:50
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.66%E -0.711%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 18:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 18:34
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 18:35
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 18:44
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 18:49
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 18:35
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 18:50
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -5.03%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -7.82%E -4.92%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 18:55
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 18:35
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.98%E -5.72%K -15.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 18:50
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.98%E -5.72%K -15.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.29%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.29%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.29%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 18:40
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.29%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 18:40
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.29%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.29%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.29%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 18:40
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 18:40
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 18:40
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:34
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:35
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 18:44
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -7.97%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -8.39%E -3.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:35
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -8.39%E -3.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -8.39%E -3.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 18:34
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -12.59%E -6.05%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -1.44%E -0.848%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%-0.2%2026-02-22 18:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-02-22 18:35
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-02-22 18:55
Novig2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-02-22 18:50
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.6%2026-02-22 18:54