Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Mercy Titans v Green Bay Phoenix

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Mercy Titans (Local)

Prediction 51.21%1.95fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.40%51.06%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.851.851.9157.80%54.10%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Green Bay Phoenix (Visit)

Prediction 48.79%2.05fair odd
EV +0.029%
Edge +0.014%
Kelly +0.028%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%48.60%48.94%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.932.0554.64%51.63%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Mercy Titans (Local): 51.21%; Green Bay Phoenix (Visit): 48.79%. For Green Bay Phoenix (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.049. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.050, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.029%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -8.34%E -4.66%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV +0.029%E +0.014%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:45
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:49
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:45
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.39%E -5.94%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 17:50
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.41%E -6.60%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 17:50
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 17:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 17:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 17:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 17:50
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 14:19
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 14:25
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 14:20
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:19
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 17:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 17:44
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 17:48
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 17:50
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 17:50
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 17:54
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 17:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 17:50
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 17:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-02-22 17:55
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-02-22 17:55
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-02-22 17:50
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.5%2026-02-22 17:55
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-02-22 17:55