Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

DePaul Blue Demons v Georgetown Hoyas

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

DePaul Blue Demons (Local)

Prediction 18.10%5.53fair odd
EV +17.63%
Edge +2.71%
Kelly +3.21%
Growth +0.565%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.13%18.35%19.05%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.005.586.106.5033.33%17.91%16.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgetown Hoyas (Visit)

Prediction 81.90%1.22fair odd
EV +8.93%
Edge +6.72%
Kelly +27.06%
Growth +2.42%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%81.65%80.95%85.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.141.111.3393.46%87.92%90.09%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: DePaul Blue Demons (Local): 18.10%; Georgetown Hoyas (Visit): 81.90%. For DePaul Blue Demons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.53. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -45.71%E -15.24%K -22.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV +8.93%E +6.72%K +27.06%G +2.42%8.5%2026-03-12 02:34
Pinnacle🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -30.33%E -7.88%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV +1.56%E +1.26%K +6.50%G +0.101%6.6%2026-03-12 02:39
GTbets🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -20.37%E -4.63%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -1.72%E -1.43%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 02:39
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -22.18%E -5.16%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -1.72%E -1.43%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 02:34
Fliff🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.54%E -2.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 02:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -18.56%E -4.13%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 02:39
BoyleSports🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -11.33%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 02:39
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -14.04%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 02:38
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.52%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 02:38
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -14.04%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.63%E -5.82%K -47.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 02:39
Unibet (NL)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +15.82%E +2.47%K +2.93%G +0.463%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -8.27%E -7.38%K -68.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 02:39
Bally Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +4.96%E +0.855%K +1.03%G +0.051%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -8.27%E -7.38%K -68.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 02:39
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +17.63%E +2.71%K +3.21%G +0.565%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -9.09%E -8.19%K -82.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 02:39
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +17.63%E +2.71%K +3.21%G +0.565%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -9.09%E -8.19%K -82.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 02:39
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +17.63%E +2.71%K +3.21%G +0.565%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -9.09%E -8.19%K -82.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 02:39
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +17.63%E +2.71%K +3.21%G +0.565%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -9.09%E -8.19%K -82.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 02:39
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +17.63%E +2.71%K +3.21%G +0.565%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -9.09%E -8.19%K -82.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 02:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +17.63%E +2.71%K +3.21%G +0.565%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -9.09%E -8.19%K -82.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 02:39
FanDuel🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +12.20%E +1.97%K +2.35%G +0.286%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -9.09%E -8.19%K -82.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 02:39
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV +10.39%E +1.70%K +2.04%G +0.212%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -9.09%E -8.19%K -82.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 02:39
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +13.10%E +2.10%K +2.50%G +0.327%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -9.91%E -9.01%K -99.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 02:39
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +13.10%E +2.10%K +2.50%G +0.327%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -9.91%E -9.01%K -99.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 02:39
BetRivers🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV +10.39%E +1.70%K +2.04%G +0.212%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -10.73%E -9.84%K -119.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 02:39
LeoVegas🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV +10.39%E +1.70%K +2.04%G +0.212%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -10.73%E -9.84%K -119.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 02:39
NordicBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +8.58%E +1.43%K +1.72%G +0.147%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -11.54%E -10.69%K -144.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +8.58%E +1.43%K +1.72%G +0.147%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -11.54%E -10.69%K -144.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 02:39
theScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +17.63%E +2.71%K +3.21%G +0.565%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -12.36%E -11.55%K -176.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 02:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%1.7%2026-03-12 02:39
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%1.8%2026-03-12 02:39
ProphetX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%4.7%2026-03-12 02:39
Novig4.98I 20.08%NM 18.49%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.51%8.6%2026-03-12 02:39