Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

DePaul Blue Demons v Butler Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

DePaul Blue Demons (Local)

Prediction 61.85%1.62fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.36%61.90%61.73%63.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.551.5967.57%64.95%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Butler Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 38.15%2.62fair odd
EV +0.716%
Edge +0.271%
Kelly +0.436%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.54%38.10%38.27%39.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.362.472.502.6442.37%40.40%40.00%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: DePaul Blue Demons (Local): 61.85%; Butler Bulldogs (Visit): 38.15%. For Butler Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.716%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -5.99%E -3.94%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV +0.716%E +0.271%K +0.436%G +0.003%3.7%2026-03-07 16:44
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.75%E -3.08%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.72%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 16:49
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.72%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 16:54
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.28%E -1.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.28%E -1.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 16:19
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 16:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 16:43
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 16:43
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.51%E -2.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:39
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:39
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:39
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:39
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 16:55
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.99%E -3.94%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.99%E -3.94%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 16:54
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.22%E -4.82%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.22%E -4.82%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 16:44
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -6.15%E -2.50%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.22%E -4.82%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -6.15%E -2.50%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 16:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.90%E -1.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.99%E -3.94%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 16:55
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.22%E -4.82%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.22%E -4.82%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -6.61%E -4.37%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -6.91%E -2.83%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -7.30%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 16:39
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -7.30%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -7.30%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 16:39
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 16:39
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.61%E -4.37%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.46%E -5.72%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 16:54
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.46%E -5.72%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.44%E -3.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 16:54
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.13%E -2.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -9.97%E -4.22%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-03-07 16:54
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-03-07 16:54
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-07 16:25
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-03-07 16:54