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Dayton Flyers v VCU Rams
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dayton Flyers (Local)
Prediction 53.40%1.87fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.950%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.46%53.32%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.781.8458.82%56.47%56.18%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VCU Rams (Visit)
Prediction 46.60%2.15fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.568%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.54%46.68%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.04%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dayton Flyers (Local): 53.40%; VCU Rams (Visit): 46.60%. For VCU Rams (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -1.75%E -0.950%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.28%E -1.25%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 23:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 23:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 23:48 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 23:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 23:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 23:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.20%E -0.568%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.09%E -4.07%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.09%E -4.07%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -6.33%E -3.15%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.09%E -4.07%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -6.33%E -3.15%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 23:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.62%E -4.41%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.62%E -4.41%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.62%E -4.41%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.69%E -5.08%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 23:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.22%E -5.43%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 23:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | -0.0% | 2026-03-06 23:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 23:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 23:55 |